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縦断的プログラム評価×中断時系列分析(Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×プログラム評価×
分野フィールド調査法因果推論フィールド調査法
系統Process / pipelineRegression modelProcess / pipeline
提唱年1960s–1970s (program evaluation); longitudinal designs formalized 1970s–1980s20021960s–1970s (Scriven 1967; Stufflebeam CIPP model 1971)
提唱者Peter Rossi, Michael Scriven, Donald Campbell (program evaluation tradition)Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)Michael Scriven; Daniel Stufflebeam; Peter Rossi
種類Applied evaluation research designQuasi-experimental segmented regressionApplied evaluation methodology
原典Rossi, P. H., Lipsey, M. W., & Freeman, H. E. (2004). Evaluation: A Systematic Approach (7th ed.). Sage Publications. ISBN: 978-0761908944Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗Rossi, P. H., Lipsey, M. W., & Freeman, H. E. (2004). Evaluation: A Systematic Approach (7th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-0761908944
別名LPE, longitudinal evaluation, long-term program evaluation, prospective program evaluationITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizievaluation research, program assessment, educational evaluation, systematic program evaluation
関連353
概要Longitudinal program evaluation is an applied research design that tracks the outcomes and processes of a program or intervention across multiple time points — from pre-implementation baseline through medium- and long-term follow-up. Unlike single-point evaluations, it captures how program effects emerge, fade, or evolve over time, enabling evaluators and funders to judge sustained impact, cost-effectiveness, and unintended consequences that would be invisible in a snapshot assessment.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.Program evaluation is a systematic, empirically grounded process of collecting and analyzing information about a program to determine its merit, worth, or significance. Applied across education, public health, social services, and policy, it addresses questions such as whether a program is reaching its target population, whether it is being implemented as designed, and whether it is producing the intended outcomes. It draws on both quantitative and qualitative methods and serves accountability, improvement, or knowledge-generation purposes.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Longitudinal Program Evaluation · Interrupted Time Series · Program Evaluation. 2026-06-17に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare