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	Heligman-Pollard Model	生命表解析
分野	人口学	人口学
系統	Regression model	Survival analysis
提唱年	1980	1984
提唱者	Larry Heligman & John H. Pollard	Demographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
種類	Parametric whole-lifespan mortality law	Age-structured mortality estimator
原典	Heligman, L., & Pollard, J. H. (1980). The age pattern of mortality. Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, 107(1), 49–80.	Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
別名	Heligman-Pollard Mortality Law, Eight-Parameter Mortality Model, HP Mortality Model, Heligman-Pollard Ölümlülük Modeli	Mortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
関連	4	3
概要	The Heligman-Pollard model is an eight-parameter parametric law that describes the age pattern of mortality across the entire human lifespan in a single equation. Introduced by Larry Heligman and John Pollard in 1980, it represents the odds of dying at each age as the sum of three additive components — a rapidly declining childhood term, a young-adult accident hump, and an exponentially rising senescent term — capturing the full characteristic shape of the mortality curve from birth to old age.	A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.