手法を比較

	Environmental Scanning for Foresight	PESTEL Macro-Environmental Scanning
分野	Futures Foresight Studies	Futures Foresight Studies
系統	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
提唱年	2003	2003
提唱者	Joseph Voros (generic foresight process framework); Millennium Project / Futures Research Methodology	Strategic-management macro-environmental analysis tradition; linked to foresight input stage by Joseph Voros
種類	Input-stage scanning pipeline for the generic foresight process	Structured macro-environmental audit feeding strategy
原典	Voros, J. (2003). A generic foresight process framework. Foresight, 5(3), 10-21.	Voros, J. (2003). A generic foresight process framework. Foresight, 5(3), 10-21.
別名	Foresight Environmental Scanning, Strategic Environmental Scanning, Foresight Input Scanning, Voros Input-Stage Scanning	PESTEL Analysis, PESTLE Analysis, Macro-Environmental Audit, PEST/PESTEL Scanning
関連	4	4
概要	Environmental scanning for foresight is the systematic surveillance of an organization's external environment to collect, filter, and interpret the signals of change that feed a structured foresight process. In Joseph Voros's 2003 generic foresight process framework, scanning is the input stage — the activity that gathers the raw material on which all subsequent analysis depends — and the quality of that input bounds the quality of everything that follows. The method is deliberately broad and continuous: it casts a wide net across many channels, sifts the resulting flood for what is relevant, and interprets the survivors into emerging trends and issues. As codified in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, environmental scanning is the foundational discipline of strategic foresight, valued because foresight that rests on a narrow or stale view of the environment is foresight built on sand, however sophisticated the downstream methods.	PESTEL macro-environmental scanning is a structured audit of the forces in an organization's wider operating environment, organized into six factor classes: Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal. Unlike open-ended horizon scanning, PESTEL is typically run as a deliberate audit that enumerates the specific drivers in each class, gathers evidence for them, and assesses their likely impact and direction so that the findings can feed directly into strategy formulation. It operationalizes the input stage of Joseph Voros's generic foresight process while retaining its roots in strategic management, where the explicit inclusion of a Legal dimension makes it well suited to regulated industries and compliance-sensitive decisions. As catalogued in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, macro-environmental scanning of this kind is a foundational discipline that grounds long-range strategy in a systematic reading of external forces rather than in the assumptions of the moment.