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ベイズ逆確率重み付け×ベイジアン差分の差 (Bayesian Difference-in-Differences)×
分野因果推論因果推論
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年20152015-2023
提唱者Saarela, Stephens, Moodie & Klein (2015); Liao & Zigler (2020)Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
種類Bayesian causal weighting estimatorBayesian causal inference / panel regression
原典Saarela, O., Stephens, D. A., Moodie, E. E. M., & Klein, M. B. (2015). On risk prediction and characterisation of treatment effects in a Bayesian framework using the propensity score. Statistics in Medicine, 34(14), 2170-2185. link ↗Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗
別名Bayesian IPW, BIPW, Bayesian propensity-weighted estimation, Bayesian marginal structural weightingBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
関連65
概要Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting (Bayesian IPW) extends the classical IPW estimator by placing prior distributions over the propensity-score model parameters and propagating that uncertainty into the causal-effect estimate. The result is a posterior distribution for the average treatment effect that fully accounts for both propensity-score estimation uncertainty and outcome-model uncertainty, enabling credible-interval inference rather than relying on asymptotic approximations.Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting · Bayesian Difference-in-Differences. 2026-06-15に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare