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ARIMA(自己回帰和分移動平均)モデル×局所回帰 LOESS / LOWESS×
分野計量経済学機械学習
系統Regression modelMachine learning
提唱年20151979
提唱者Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)William S. Cleveland
種類Univariate time-series modelLocal nonparametric regression smoother
原典Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Cleveland, W. S. (1979). Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(368), 829–836. DOI ↗
別名Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliLOWESS, local regression, locally weighted scatterplot smoothing, yerel regresyon
関連53
概要ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing), introduced by William Cleveland in 1979 and extended with Susan Devlin in 1988, fits a smooth curve through data by performing a separate weighted polynomial regression in the neighbourhood of each point. Nearby observations count more than distant ones, so the method follows local structure without assuming any global functional form, making it a popular exploratory smoother for scatterplots.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: ARIMA · LOESS. 2026-06-20に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare