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Kausalitas Granger Parameter Waktu-Bervariasi×Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1969 (Granger); TVP extension ~20051980
PencetusC.W.J. Granger (causality concept); TVP extension developed by Primiceri (2005) and subsequent literatureChristopher A. Sims
TipeCausality test / time-varying modelMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
AliasTVP Granger causality, rolling-window Granger causality, time-varying Granger test, dynamic Granger causalityVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Terkait45
RingkasanTime-varying parameter Granger causality extends the classical Granger causality framework by allowing the predictive relationships between time series to evolve across time. Instead of assuming fixed causal effects, the model estimates causal coefficients that can shift, capturing structural breaks, regime changes, or gradual evolution in economic or financial relationships.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Time-varying parameter Granger causality · Vector Autoregression. Diakses 2026-06-17 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare