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Model ARIMA Patahan Struktural×Uji Bai-Perron Berganda untuk Perubahan Struktural×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelHypothesis test
Tahun asal1989-19981998
PencetusPerron (1989); extended by Bai & Perron (1998)Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron
TipeTime series model with regime detectionSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaks
Sumber perintisBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47-78. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
AliasARIMA with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARIMA, piecewise ARIMA, ARIMA with regime shiftsBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma Testi
Terkait32
RingkasanA structural break ARIMA model extends the standard ARIMA framework by explicitly identifying and accommodating one or more abrupt shifts in the level, trend, or dynamics of a time series. Rather than forcing a single set of ARIMA parameters across the entire sample, it fits separate ARIMA specifications for each regime defined by the detected break dates.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Structural Break ARIMA Model · Bai-Perron Test. Diakses 2026-06-17 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare