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Analisis Dampak Kausal Multi-Periode×Analisis Deret Waktu Terinterupsi (ITS)×
BidangInferensi KausalInferensi Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present2002
PencetusBrodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied workWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
TipeBayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimentalQuasi-experimental segmented regression
Sumber perintisBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
Aliasmulti-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpactITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
Terkait65
RingkasanMulti-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis · Interrupted Time Series. Diakses 2026-06-19 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare