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| Model Peralihan Rezim Markov (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | Regresi Kuadrat Terkecil Biasa (Ordinary Least Squares - OLS)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Ekonometrika | Ekonometrika |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 1989 | 2019 |
| Pencetus≠ | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| Tipe≠ | Regime-switching time series model | Linear regression |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| Alias≠ | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| Terkait | 5 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
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