Bandingkan metode
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| DCC-MIDAS× | GARCH-MIDAS× | Quantile VAR× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Ekonometrika | Ekonometrika | Ekonometrika |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2013 | 2012 | 2006 |
| Pencetus≠ | Engle, Ghysels, and Sohn | Engle and Ghysels | Koenker and Xiao |
| Tipe≠ | Time-varying correlation model | Time-varying variance model | Distribution impulse response |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Engle, R. F., Ghysels, E., & Sohn, B. (2013). Stock market volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 776-797. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗ | Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | DCC mixed-frequency model | Mixed-frequency volatility model | Quantile-based impulse response |
| Terkait | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Ringkasan≠ | DCC-MIDAS combines dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH with mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS), enabling estimation of time-varying correlations between variables when observations arrive at different frequencies. Introduced by Engle et al. (2013), it models how correlations evolve with low-frequency macroeconomic conditions using high-frequency asset price information. This is crucial for portfolio risk management and understanding macro-finance linkages. | GARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting. | Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times. |
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