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GARCH Komponen×Quantile VAR×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19992006
PencetusEngle and LeeKoenker and Xiao
TipeDecomposed variance modelDistribution impulse response
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗
AliasVolatility components modelQuantile-based impulse response
Terkait33
RingkasanComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Component GARCH · Quantile VAR. Diakses 2026-06-19 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare