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Uji Kausalitas dalam Varians×GARCH Komponen×GARCH-MIDAS×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199619992012
PencetusYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and LeeEngle and Ghysels
TipeConditional variance testDecomposed variance modelTime-varying variance model
Sumber perintisCheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Engle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗
AliasVolatility spillover testVolatility components modelMixed-frequency volatility model
Terkait333
RingkasanThe causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.GARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Causality in Variance Test · Component GARCH · GARCH-MIDAS. Diakses 2026-06-19 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare