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Uji Kausalitas dalam Varians×GARCH Komponen×DCC-MIDAS×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199619992013
PencetusYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and LeeEngle, Ghysels, and Sohn
TipeConditional variance testDecomposed variance modelTime-varying correlation model
Sumber perintisCheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Engle, R. F., Ghysels, E., & Sohn, B. (2013). Stock market volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 776-797. DOI ↗
AliasVolatility spillover testVolatility components modelDCC mixed-frequency model
Terkait333
RingkasanThe causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.DCC-MIDAS combines dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH with mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS), enabling estimation of time-varying correlations between variables when observations arrive at different frequencies. Introduced by Engle et al. (2013), it models how correlations evolve with low-frequency macroeconomic conditions using high-frequency asset price information. This is crucial for portfolio risk management and understanding macro-finance linkages.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Causality in Variance Test · Component GARCH · DCC-MIDAS. Diakses 2026-06-19 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare