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Desain Ex Post Facto Bayesian×Desain Ex Post Facto×
BidangDesain PenelitianDesain Penelitian
KeluargaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal1964 (Kerlinger ex post facto); Bayesian integration from 1990s–2000s onward1960s (systematic codification); concept used in social science from early 20th century
PencetusFrederick N. Kerlinger (ex post facto framework); Bayesian extension draws on Laplace and modern Bayesian statisticsFormalized by Fred N. Kerlinger; foundational treatment by Donald T. Campbell and Julian C. Stanley
TipeQuantitative observational research design with Bayesian inferenceNon-experimental quantitative research design
Sumber perintisKerlinger, F. N. (1973). Foundations of Behavioral Research (2nd ed.). Holt, Rinehart and Winston. link ↗Kerlinger, F. N. (1964). Foundations of Behavioral Research. Holt, Rinehart and Winston. link ↗
AliasBayesian causal-comparative design, Bayesian after-the-fact design, Bayesian observational causal design, Bayesian retrospective causal studyafter-the-fact research, retrospective non-experimental design, causal-comparative design, EPF design
Terkait53
RingkasanBayesian ex post facto design investigates possible causal relationships among variables that have already occurred, without researcher manipulation of those variables, and quantifies uncertainty about those relationships using Bayesian statistical inference. The researcher selects groups that differ on an outcome or a presumed cause after the fact, then uses prior knowledge and observed data together — via Bayes' theorem — to estimate credible effect sizes, group differences, or predictors.Ex post facto design is a non-experimental quantitative research approach in which the researcher investigates a phenomenon after it has already occurred, examining pre-existing differences between groups to explore potential causal or associative relationships. Because the independent variable cannot be manipulated — it happened in the past — the design relies on careful group selection, retrospective data collection, and statistical controls to approximate causal inference without experimental intervention.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Bayesian Ex Post Facto Design · Ex Post Facto Design. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare