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| Szintetikus kontroll módszer (SCM)× | Instrumentális Változók (IV) Módszer Kauzális Infláció Becslésére× | |
|---|---|---|
| Tudományterület≠ | Oksági következtetés | Egészség-gazdaságtan |
| Módszercsalád≠ | Regression model | Process / pipeline |
| Keletkezés éve≠ | 2003–2010 | 1990s (modern applications) |
| Megalkotó≠ | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010) | Angrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory |
| Típus≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference | Method |
| Alapmű≠ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ | Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press. link ↗ |
| Alternatív nevek | SCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method | IV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation |
| Kapcsolódó≠ | 4 | 3 |
| Összefoglaló≠ | The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect. | Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes. |
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