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| Politikai Forgatókönyv Dinamikus Programozás× | Markov-modell× | |
|---|---|---|
| Tudományterület | Szimuláció | Szimuláció |
| Módszercsalád | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Keletkezés éve≠ | 1957 | 1906 |
| Megalkotó≠ | Bellman, Richard E. | Andrei Markov |
| Típus≠ | Sequential optimization with scenario branching | Probabilistic state-transition model |
| Alapmű≠ | Bellman, R. (1957). Dynamic Programming. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691079516 | Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963 |
| Alternatív nevek | PSDP, Policy-Scenario DP, Scenario-Based Dynamic Programming, Policy DP | Markov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process |
| Kapcsolódó | 5 | 5 |
| Összefoglaló≠ | Policy Scenario Dynamic Programming (PSDP) applies Bellman's recursive optimization framework to a set of pre-specified policy scenarios, enabling decision-makers to compare staged, sequential decisions under distinct future conditions. It decomposes a complex, multi-period policy choice into tractable sub-problems solved backward through time, yielding optimal action sequences for each scenario and a structured basis for scenario comparison. | A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling. |
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