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Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation×Policy Scenario System Dynamics×
TudományterületSzimulációSzimuláció
MódszercsaládProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Keletkezés éve1960s–1990s1960s–1990s
MegalkotóTocher, K. D. and Gordon, G. (early DES); policy scenario extension emerged through operations research and health policy modeling communitiesForrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and others
TípusSimulation-based policy evaluationSimulation-based policy analysis
AlapműLaw, A. M. (2015). Simulation Modeling and Analysis (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN: 9780073401324Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159
Alternatív nevekPolicy DES, Scenario-based DES, Policy simulation DES, DES policy analysisPSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems Modeling
Kapcsolódó55
ÖsszefoglalóPolicy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation combines the event-by-event fidelity of Discrete-Event Simulation with systematic policy scenario analysis to evaluate how different interventions, regulations, or resource allocations change system performance. By running multiple well-defined policy scenarios through the same DES model, analysts can compare outcomes — throughput, waiting times, costs — across alternatives before real-world implementation.Policy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateMódszerek összehasonlítása: Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation · Policy Scenario System Dynamics. Letöltve 2026-06-19, forrás: https://scholargate.app/hu/compare