Módszerek összehasonlítása

	Gépi Tanulással Bővített Fuzzy Megszűnési Pont Design	Instrumentális Változók (IV) Módszer Kauzális Infláció Becslésére
Tudományterület	Oksági következtetés	Egészség-gazdaságtan
Módszercsalád	Regression model	Process / pipeline
Keletkezés éve	2001 (fuzzy RDD); 2018 (double ML augmentation)	1990s (modern applications)
Megalkotó	Hahn, Todd & Van der Klaauw (fuzzy RDD); Chernozhukov et al. (ML augmentation framework)	Angrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory
Típus	Quasi-experimental causal inference	Method
Alapmű	Hahn, J., Todd, P., & Van der Klaauw, W. (2001). Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design. Review of Economic Studies, 68(1), 201-209.	Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Alternatív nevek	ML-augmented fuzzy RDD, ML fuzzy RD, double ML fuzzy RDD, nonparametric fuzzy RDD	IV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation
Kapcsolódó	5	3
Összefoglaló	ML-augmented fuzzy RDD extends the classical fuzzy regression discontinuity design by replacing parametric polynomial approximations with flexible machine learning estimators. Where standard fuzzy RDD uses IV-style estimation at a threshold with imperfect compliance, the ML-augmented variant leverages nonparametric learners — such as random forests or neural networks — to model both the outcome and the first-stage treatment probability near the cutoff, reducing misspecification bias while preserving causal identification.	Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes.