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Komponens GARCH×Kovariancia-okozatiság teszt×
TudományterületÖkonometriaÖkonometria
MódszercsaládRegression modelRegression model
Keletkezés éve19991996
MegalkotóEngle and LeeYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng
TípusDecomposed variance modelConditional variance test
AlapműEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗
Alternatív nevekVolatility components modelVolatility spillover test
Kapcsolódó33
ÖsszefoglalóComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.
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ScholarGateMódszerek összehasonlítása: Component GARCH · Causality in Variance Test. Letöltve 2026-06-18, forrás: https://scholargate.app/hu/compare