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Bayes-háló×Bayes-féle Regresszió×A kauzális azonosítás irányított aciklikus grafikonokkal (do-kalkulus)×Markov-lánc Monte Carlo (MCMC)×
TudományterületBayes-statisztikaBayes-statisztikaOksági következtetésBayes-statisztika
MódszercsaládBayesian methodsBayesian methodsRegression modelBayesian methods
Keletkezés éve19882009
MegalkotóJudea PearlJudea Pearl
TípusProbabilistic graphical modelBayesian linear modelCausal identification frameworkPosterior sampling algorithm
AlapműPearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann. ISBN: 978-1558604797Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955Pearl, J. (2009). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521895606Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955
Alternatív nevekBayes network, belief network, probabilistic graphical model, directed graphical modelbayesian linear regression, probabilistic regression, bayesian regresyondo-calculus, backdoor adjustment, Pearl causal identification, DAG ile Nedensel Tanımlama (do-calculus)markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo)
Kapcsolódó4253
ÖsszefoglalóA Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model, introduced by Judea Pearl in 1988, that encodes a set of variables and their conditional dependencies as a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Each node represents a variable; each directed edge encodes a direct probabilistic influence. By combining Bayes' rule with the graph's conditional independence structure, the model supports reasoning under uncertainty — computing the probability of any variable given observed evidence about others.Bayesian regression is a probabilistic version of linear regression that treats the model parameters as uncertain quantities. Instead of returning a single best-fit estimate, it combines prior knowledge with the observed data to produce a full posterior probability distribution for each parameter, from which credible intervals and predictions are read off.DAG causal identification is a framework, developed by Judea Pearl (2009), that encodes causal assumptions as a directed acyclic graph and uses the do-calculus rules to determine whether and how a causal effect can be identified from observational data. It systematically handles confounders, instrumental variables, and backdoor paths.Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model.
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ScholarGateMódszerek összehasonlítása: Bayesian Network · Bayesian Regression · DAG Causal Identification · MCMC. Letöltve 2026-06-17, forrás: https://scholargate.app/hu/compare