Zapis dokaza metode

Scenario Planning for Policy

Scenario planning is a strategic-foresight method that develops a small set of plausible, internally consistent and divergent stories about how the future might unfold, in order to test policies and strategies against deep uncertainty. Rooted in the work of Pierre Wack at Royal Dutch/Shell and popularised by Peter Schwartz's The Art of the Long View, it does not try to predict the future but to expand decision-makers' thinking about it. By exploring several qualitatively different futures, policymakers can craft strategies that are robust across a range of possibilities rather than optimised for a single forecast that may not arrive.

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Izvorni zapis

Citati kopirani doslovno iz izvornog zapisa metode. Ne impliciraju nikakvu provjeru na razini tvrdnje.

Scenario Planning for Policy and Strategic Foresight

Taksonomski zapis metode · process-pipeline / public-policy

Schwartz, P. (1991). The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. New York: Doubleday/Currency. · ISBN 9780385267311

Otvori cijelu metodu

Uređene tvrdnje

Tvrdnje pohranjene u knjigu dokaza, svaka s vlastitom procjenom.

Nema uređenih tvrdnji

Ovaj prikaz ne izmišlja procjenu tvrdnje kada knjiga dokaza nema nijednu.

Povezane metode

Generirano iz grafa metode i prikazano kao strojno predložene relacije — ne implicira se nikakva tvrdnja dokaza.

Taxonomic bucketBackcasting for Policymachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyEx-Ante Policy Appraisalmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Used in the same domainMulti-Criteria Policy Analysismachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyPolicy Delphimachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.