Scenario Planning for Policy
Scenario planning is a strategic-foresight method that develops a small set of plausible, internally consistent and divergent stories about how the future might unfold, in order to test policies and strategies against deep uncertainty. Rooted in the work of Pierre Wack at Royal Dutch/Shell and popularised by Peter Schwartz's The Art of the Long View, it does not try to predict the future but to expand decision-makers' thinking about it. By exploring several qualitatively different futures, policymakers can craft strategies that are robust across a range of possibilities rather than optimised for a single forecast that may not arrive.
पूरी विधि पढ़ें
यह खंड पढ़ने के लिए निःशुल्क खाते से साइन इन करें।
पद्धति मानचित्र
सम्बन्धित पद्धतियों का परिवेश — अन्वेषण हेतु किसी नोड का चयन करें।
स्रोत
- Schwartz, P. (1991). The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World. New York: Doubleday/Currency. ISBN: 9780385267311
इस पृष्ठ का उद्धरण कैसे दें
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Scenario Planning for Policy and Strategic Foresight. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/hi/public-policy/scenario-planning-policy
कौन-सी पद्धति?
इस पद्धति को उसकी निकटतम सजातीय पद्धतियों के साथ रखकर उन्हें साथ-साथ पढ़ें — पुस्तकालय पुस्तकें मेज़ पर रख देता है; चुनाव आपका है।
- Backcasting for PolicyPublic Policy↔ तुलना करें
- Ex-Ante Policy AppraisalPublic Policy↔ तुलना करें
- Multi-Criteria Policy AnalysisPublic Policy↔ तुलना करें
- Policy DelphiPublic Policy↔ तुलना करें