Real-Time Delphi
Real-Time Delphi is a roundless, asynchronous, computer-mediated reinvention of the classic Delphi method, developed by Theodore Gordon and Adam Pease in 2006. Where conventional Delphi proceeds through discrete questionnaire rounds — collect, aggregate, redistribute, repeat — Real-Time Delphi collapses the rounds entirely: experts log in to an online platform whenever they choose, see the panel's current aggregate estimates and the rationales behind them, and revise their own answers continuously, with the aggregate updating live as they do. This always-on feedback architecture preserves the core Delphi virtues of anonymity and structured feedback while removing the long delays, fixed schedules, and administrative burden of round-based administration. As described by Gordon and Pease and catalogued in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, the method makes large, distributed, and time-pressured expert elicitations practical, letting a panel converge through continuous interaction rather than through a rigid sequence of rounds.
पूरी विधि पढ़ें
यह खंड पढ़ने के लिए निःशुल्क खाते से साइन इन करें।
पद्धति मानचित्र
सम्बन्धित पद्धतियों का परिवेश — अन्वेषण हेतु किसी नोड का चयन करें।
स्रोत
- Gordon, T., & Pease, A. (2006). RT Delphi: An efficient, round-less almost real time Delphi method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(4), 321-333. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.09.005 ↗
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. ISBN: 9780981894119
इस पृष्ठ का उद्धरण कैसे दें
ScholarGate. (2026, June 23). Real-Time Delphi (Roundless, Asynchronous Computer-Mediated Expert Elicitation). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/hi/futures-foresight-studies/real-time-delphi
कौन-सी पद्धति?
इस पद्धति को उसकी निकटतम सजातीय पद्धतियों के साथ रखकर उन्हें साथ-साथ पढ़ें — पुस्तकालय पुस्तकें मेज़ पर रख देता है; चुनाव आपका है।
- Cross-Impact Balance AnalysisFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें
- Environmental Scanning for ForesightFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें
- Trend Impact AnalysisFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें
- Wild Card AnalysisFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें