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संरचनात्मक ब्रेक एनएआरडीएल×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष2014–20181970
प्रवर्तकShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (NARDL base); structural break extensions by subsequent applied researchersGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
प्रकारNonlinear cointegration with structural breaksTime series forecasting model
मौलिक स्रोतShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
उपनामSB-NARDL, NARDL with structural breaks, nonlinear ARDL with break, asymmetric ARDL structural breakARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
संबंधित66
सारांशStructural Break NARDL extends the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) bounds-testing framework by explicitly accommodating one or more structural breaks in the long-run relationship. It separates positive and negative changes in the regressor, tests for cointegration, and allows regime shifts, providing a richer picture of asymmetric and break-sensitive dynamics between variables.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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