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Robust SARIMA Model×X-13ARIMA-SEATS मौसमी समंजन×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelProcess / pipeline
उद्भव वर्ष1979–20091998
प्रवर्तकMuler, Peña & Yohai (robust ARMA); earlier foundation by Denby & Martin (1979)U.S. Census Bureau; Findley et al.
प्रकारRobust time-series modelNon-parametric / model-based hybrid
मौलिक स्रोतMuler, N., Peña, D., & Yohai, V. J. (2009). Robust estimation for ARMA models. The Annals of Statistics, 37(2), 816–840. DOI ↗Findley, D. F., Monsell, B. C., Bell, W. R., Otto, M. C., & Chen, B.-C. (1998). New capabilities and methods of the X-12-ARIMA seasonal adjustment program. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(2), 127–152. DOI ↗
उपनामrobust SARIMA, outlier-resistant SARIMA, robust seasonal ARIMA, M-estimator SARIMAX-13ARIMA-SEATS, X-12-ARIMA, Census X-13, Mevsimsel Düzeltme X-13
संबंधित43
सारांशRobust SARIMA extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by replacing the standard least-squares criterion with a robust loss function — such as an M-estimator — so that outliers and heavy-tailed innovations in seasonal time series cannot distort parameter estimates or invalidate forecasts.X-13ARIMA-SEATS is the standard seasonal adjustment program produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, combining RegARIMA pre-adjustment with either the classical X-11 filter or the model-based SEATS signal-extraction algorithm. It is the official tool used by national statistical agencies worldwide — including Eurostat and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — to remove recurring calendar and seasonal patterns from monthly or quarterly economic time series such as GDP, employment, and retail sales.
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