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अरैखिक चल माध्य (NMA) मॉडल×गार्छ मॉडल (अस्थिरता पूर्वानुमान)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19781986
प्रवर्तकGranger & Andersen (bilinear/NMA framework); Tong (nonlinear time series theory)Tim Bollerslev
प्रकारNonlinear time series modelConditional volatility model
मौलिक स्रोतGranger, C. W. J., & Andersen, A. P. (1978). An Introduction to Bilinear Time Series Models. Vandenhoeck and Ruprecht, Gottingen. link ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
उपनामNMA model, nonlinear moving average, NLMA model, nonlinear MAGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
संबंधित45
सारांशThe Nonlinear Moving Average (NMA) model extends the classical linear MA model by allowing the current observation to depend on past innovations through a nonlinear function rather than a simple weighted sum. It is used in time series analysis when error shocks transmit to outcomes in an asymmetric or state-dependent fashion.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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