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सामान्यीकृत ऑटोरेग्रेसिव कंडीशनल हेटेरोस्केडैस्टिसिटी (GARCH)×TBATS×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19862011
प्रवर्तकTim BollerslevDe Livera, Hyndman & Snyder
प्रकारConditional volatility modelExponential smoothing state space model
मौलिक स्रोतBollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗De Livera, A. M., Hyndman, R. J. & Snyder, R. D. (2011). Forecasting Time Series with Complex Seasonal Patterns Using Exponential Smoothing. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 106(496), 1513-1527. DOI ↗
उपनामGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modelitrigonometric exponential smoothing, multiple seasonal exponential smoothing, complex seasonal exponential smoothing, TBATS — Çoklu Mevsimsel Üstel Düzleştirme
संबंधित53
सारांशGARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.TBATS is an innovations state space forecasting model, introduced by De Livera, Hyndman and Snyder (2011), that combines a Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors and trigonometric (Fourier) seasonal terms. It is built to handle continuous time series with several nested seasonal cycles at once — for example hourly data that also repeats daily, weekly and yearly.
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