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ईटीएसफ़ॉर्मर: समय-श्रृंखला पूर्वानुमान के लिए घातीय स्मूथिंग ट्रांसफ़ॉर्मर×ऑटोफ़ॉर्मर: दीर्घकालिक समय-श्रृंखला पूर्वानुमान के लिए डीकंपोज़िशन ट्रांसफ़ॉर्मर×ईटीएस: त्रुटि, प्रवृत्ति, मौसमी घातीय स्मूथिंग×
क्षेत्रगहन अधिगमगहन अधिगमअर्थमिति
परिवारMachine learningMachine learningRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष202220212008
प्रवर्तकGerald Woo et al.Haixu Wu et al. (Tsinghua)Hyndman, Koehler, Ord & Snyder (state space framework)
प्रकारHybrid decomposition-based Transformer architectureDecomposition-based deep forecasting modelExponential smoothing state space model
मौलिक स्रोतWoo, G., Liu, C., Sahoo, D., Kumar, A., & Hoi, S. (2022). ETSformer: Exponential smoothing transformers for time-series forecasting. arXiv preprint. link ↗Wu, H., Xu, J., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2021). Autoformer: Decomposition transformers with auto-correlation for long-term series forecasting. NeurIPS, 34. link ↗Hyndman, R. J., Koehler, A. B., Ord, J. K. & Snyder, R. D. (2008). Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach. Springer. DOI ↗
उपनामExponential Smoothing Transformer, ETS Transformer, ETSformer forecasting model, Üstel Düzleştirme TransformatörüAuto-Correlation Transformer, Decomposition Transformer, Series Decomposition Forecaster, Oto-Korelasyon Ayrışım Transformerexponential smoothing state space model, innovations state space model, Holt-Winters family, ETS — Hata/Trend/Mevsimsellik Üstel Düzleştirme
संबंधित245
सारांशETSformer is a deep learning architecture for time-series forecasting introduced by Woo et al. in 2022. It integrates classical exponential smoothing principles directly into the Transformer framework by replacing standard self-attention with an exponential smoothing attention mechanism. The model decomposes a time series into level, growth (trend), and seasonal components, allowing it to leverage both the long-range dependency modeling of Transformers and the interpretable structure of statistical ETS models.Autoformer is a deep learning architecture for long-term time-series forecasting, introduced by Wu et al. from Tsinghua University at NeurIPS 2021. It replaces the standard self-attention mechanism with an Auto-Correlation mechanism that exploits periodic dependencies in the frequency domain, and embeds a progressive series decomposition block throughout the encoder and decoder to separately model trend and seasonal components.ETS is a comprehensive exponential smoothing framework that automatically selects additive or multiplicative combinations of the error (E), trend (T) and seasonal (S) components of a time series. Formalised as an innovations state space model by Hyndman, Koehler, Ord and Snyder in 2008, it unifies and generalises the Holt-Winters family of forecasting methods.
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