विधियों की तुलना करें

	प्रति-वास्तविक प्रभाव मूल्यांकन (Counterfactual Impact Evaluation - CIE)	कार्यकारण प्रभाव विश्लेषण
क्षेत्र	कारणात्मक अनुमान	कारणात्मक अनुमान
परिवार	Regression model	Regression model
उद्भव वर्ष	1970s–2000s	2015
प्रवर्तक	Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature	Kay H. Brodersen, Fabian Gallusser, Jim Koehler, Nicolas Remy, Steven L. Scott (Google)
प्रकार	Causal inference / program evaluation	Bayesian causal inference / counterfactual forecasting
मौलिक स्रोत	Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874.	Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274.
उपनाम	CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation	CausalImpact, BSTS causal inference, Bayesian causal impact, counterfactual time-series analysis
संबंधित	5	5
सारांश	Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice.	Causal Impact Analysis, introduced by Brodersen et al. (2015) at Google, uses Bayesian structural time-series models to estimate what would have happened to an outcome had an intervention never occurred. By constructing a probabilistic counterfactual from pre-treatment data and control covariates, it quantifies point-in-time and cumulative treatment effects with full posterior uncertainty intervals.