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	Causal Mediation Analysis in Politics	कारण मध्यस्थता विश्लेषण (प्राकृतिक प्रत्यक्ष और अप्रत्यक्ष प्रभाव)
क्षेत्र	Political Science	कारणात्मक अनुमान
परिवार	Regression model	Regression model
उद्भव वर्ष	2010	2010
प्रवर्तक	Imai, Keele, Tingley & Yamamoto (potential-outcomes causal mediation)	Pearl (2001); general framework by Imai, Keele & Tingley (2010)
प्रकार	Causal-inference decomposition of a treatment effect into direct and indirect (mediated) components	Counterfactual causal decomposition
मौलिक स्रोत	Imai, K., Keele, L., & Tingley, D. (2010). A General Approach to Causal Mediation Analysis. Psychological Methods, 15(4), 309–334.	Pearl, J. (2001). Direct and Indirect Effects. In Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI), 411-420.
उपनाम	Causal mediation, Mechanism analysis, Direct and indirect effects, Potential-outcomes mediation	natural direct effect, natural indirect effect, NDE / NIE decomposition, counterfactual mediation
संबंधित	5	5
सारांश	Causal mediation analysis decomposes the effect of a treatment — often a randomized experimental manipulation, such as a campaign message or an information treatment — into the part transmitted through a specified intermediate variable, the mediator, and the part operating through all other pathways. Formalized in the potential-outcomes framework by Imai, Keele, Tingley, and Yamamoto, it defines the average causal mediation effect (ACME) and the average direct effect, makes explicit the sequential-ignorability assumption required to identify them, and supplies a sensitivity analysis for when that assumption fails. It lets political scientists move beyond 'does the treatment work?' to 'why does it work?'	Causal mediation analysis is a counterfactual framework that splits a treatment's total effect into a Natural Direct Effect (NDE) and a Natural Indirect Effect (NIE) that runs through a mediator. The modern general approach was formalised by Pearl (2001) and Imai, Keele and Tingley (2010), giving the decomposition a precise causal interpretation.