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क्षेत्रअनुकरणअनुकरण
परिवारProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
उद्भव वर्ष2000s–2010s1960s–1970s
प्रवर्तकDeveloped across operations research and Bayesian statistics communities; prominently formalized in health economic simulation in the 2000s–2010sBanks, Carson, Nelson, Nicol; Law, A. M.
प्रकारHybrid simulation-inference frameworkStochastic simulation model
मौलिक स्रोतOnggo, B. S., & Kunc, M. (2016). Combining discrete-event simulation and Bayesian updating for incorporating evidence from real-world data. Journal of Simulation, 10(1), 1-12. link ↗Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., & Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127
उपनामBayesian DES, BDES, Bayesian event-driven simulation, posterior-driven discrete-event simulationStochastic DES, SDES, Probabilistic DES, Monte Carlo DES
संबंधित66
सारांशBayesian Discrete-Event Simulation (BDES) integrates Bayesian statistical inference with discrete-event simulation. Prior beliefs about system parameters — such as service rates, arrival times, or failure probabilities — are updated with observed data via Bayes' theorem, and the resulting posterior distributions directly drive the simulation engine. This coupling allows modelers to propagate both aleatory and epistemic uncertainty through event-driven process models.Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation (Stochastic DES) models complex systems by advancing simulated time from one discrete event to the next, drawing event durations and inter-arrival times from fitted probability distributions. It is the standard technique for analyzing queues, manufacturing lines, healthcare pathways, and logistics networks under uncertainty, producing output statistics with confidence intervals.
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ScholarGateविधियों की तुलना करें: Bayesian Discrete-Event Simulation · Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation. 2026-06-18 को यहाँ से प्राप्त https://scholargate.app/hi/compare