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ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×[MISSING TRANSLATION]×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelHypothesis test
उद्भव वर्ष20151995
प्रवर्तकBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Francis Diebold & Roberto Mariano
प्रकारUnivariate time-series modelNon-parametric forecast comparison test
मौलिक स्रोतBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 253–263. DOI ↗
उपनामBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDM Test, Test of Equal Forecast Accuracy, Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test, Tahmin Doğruluğu Eşitliği Testi
संबंधित53
सारांशARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Diebold-Mariano (DM) test, introduced by Diebold and Mariano in 1995, is a widely used non-parametric procedure for formally comparing the predictive accuracy of two competing forecasting models. It evaluates whether the difference in forecast errors between two models is statistically significant, without requiring nested models or specific distributional assumptions about the forecasts, making it broadly applicable across economics, finance, and time-series analysis.
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