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דינמיקת מערכת סטוכסטית×משוואות דיפרנציאליות סטוכסטיות (SDEs)×
תחוםסימולציהסימולציה
משפחהProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
שנת המקור1980s–2000s1944 (theory); 1992 (numerical framework)
הוגה השיטהJay W. Forrester (base SD); stochastic extensions developed through 1980s–2000s by multiple researchersKiyosi Itô (Itô calculus, 1944); Peter Kloeden & Eckhard Platen (numerical methods, 1992)
סוגContinuous stochastic simulationContinuous-time stochastic process model
מקור מכונןSterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159Øksendal, B. (2003). Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications (6th ed.). Springer. DOI ↗
כינוייםSSD, stochastic stock-flow modelling, probabilistic system dynamics, random system dynamicsSDE, Itô equations, Stokastik Diferansiyel Denklemler (SDE)
קשורות54
תקצירStochastic System Dynamics (SSD) extends conventional system dynamics by replacing fixed parameter values and deterministic flow equations with probability distributions and random draws. Running many replications of the stock-flow model yields probabilistic trajectories — confidence bands rather than single lines — enabling rigorous uncertainty quantification and risk analysis in complex feedback systems such as epidemic models, supply chains, and energy policy scenarios.Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are differential equation models that combine a deterministic drift term — governing the average tendency of a system — with a stochastic diffusion term driven by a Wiener process (Brownian motion). Pioneered through Itô calculus by Kiyosi Itô in 1944 and given a comprehensive numerical treatment by Kloeden and Platen in 1992, SDEs are the standard modelling language for continuous-time systems subject to random noise, including financial asset prices, population dynamics, and physical processes.
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ScholarGateהשוואת שיטות: Stochastic System Dynamics · Stochastic Differential Equations. אוחזר בתאריך 2026-06-18 מתוך https://scholargate.app/he/compare