השוואת שיטות

	מבחן גריינג'ר לסיבתיות לא-לינארית של הימסטרה-ג'ונס	מיפוי צולב מתכנס (CCM)
תחום	אקונומטריקה	הסקה סיבתית
משפחה	Hypothesis test	Machine learning
שנת המקור	1994	2012
הוגה השיטה	Craig Hiemstra & Jonathan Jones	George Sugihara et al.
סוג	Nonparametric hypothesis test	Nonlinear time-series causality test
מקור מכונן	Hiemstra, C., & Jones, J. D. (1994). Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger causality in the stock price-volume relation. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1639–1664.	Sugihara, G., et al. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496–500.
כינויים	HJ Nonlinear Causality Test, Hiemstra-Jones Test, Nonlinear Granger Causality (Hiemstra-Jones), HJ Nedensellik Testi	CCM, Cross-Convergent Mapping, Empirical Dynamic Modelling Causality, Yakınsak Çapraz Haritalama
קשורות	3	3
תקציר	The Hiemstra-Jones test, introduced in 1994, is a nonparametric procedure for detecting nonlinear causal relationships between two time series after removing their linear interdependencies. Developed in the context of stock price and trading volume dynamics, it extends the standard linear Granger causality framework by using correlation integral statistics to detect predictability arising from nonlinear mechanisms that linear VAR models cannot capture.	Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a nonlinear, state-space method for detecting causality between time-series variables embedded in a shared dynamical system. Introduced by George Sugihara and colleagues in their landmark 2012 Science paper, CCM exploits Takens' embedding theorem: if variable X causally influences Y, the historical record of Y contains enough information to recover the states of X. Causality is confirmed when cross-map skill improves—converges—as the time-series library grows longer.