השוואת שיטות
סקרו את השיטות שבחרתם זו לצד זו; שורות שבהן יש הבדל מודגשות.
| Component GARCH (רכיב GARCH)× | מבחן סיבתיות בשונות (Causality in Variance Test)× | |
|---|---|---|
| תחום | אקונומטריקה | אקונומטריקה |
| משפחה | Regression model | Regression model |
| שנת המקור≠ | 1999 | 1996 |
| הוגה השיטה≠ | Engle and Lee | Yin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng |
| סוג≠ | Decomposed variance model | Conditional variance test |
| מקור מכונן≠ | Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗ | Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗ |
| כינויים | Volatility components model | Volatility spillover test |
| קשורות | 3 | 3 |
| תקציר≠ | Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting. | The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies. |
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