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מבחן סיבתיות בשונות (Causality in Variance Test)×Component GARCH (רכיב GARCH)×
תחוםאקונומטריקהאקונומטריקה
משפחהRegression modelRegression model
שנת המקור19961999
הוגה השיטהYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and Lee
סוגConditional variance testDecomposed variance model
מקור מכונןCheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗
כינוייםVolatility spillover testVolatility components model
קשורות33
תקצירThe causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.
ScholarGateמערך נתונים
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  1. v1
  2. 2 מקורות
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateהשוואת שיטות: Causality in Variance Test · Component GARCH. אוחזר בתאריך 2026-06-17 מתוך https://scholargate.app/he/compare