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Analyse d'arbres de défaillance assistée par simulation×Analyse de l'arbre de défaillance basée sur le risque×
DomainePlans d'expériencesPlans d'expériences
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine1970s–1980s (widespread adoption in nuclear and aerospace industries)1961 (FTA origin); risk-based integration formalised 1975–1981
Auteur d'origineFault tree analysis: H. A. Watson (Bell Labs, 1961); Monte Carlo integration in reliability: Herman Kahn / Stanislaw Ulam (RAND, late 1940s); combination formalized in reliability engineering literature from the 1970s onwardH.A. Watson (Bell Labs) and developed further by Boeing/U.S. Air Force; risk-based extension via NRC probabilistic risk assessment programs
TypeQuantitative reliability and risk analysis techniqueQuantitative safety and reliability analysis
Source fondatriceVesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG-0492. link ↗Vesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG-0492. link ↗
AliasSA-FTA, Monte Carlo FTA, simulation-based FTA, stochastic fault tree analysisRB-FTA, risk-informed FTA, quantitative fault tree analysis, probabilistic fault tree analysis
Apparentées66
RésuméSimulation-assisted fault tree analysis (SA-FTA) combines the logical structure of classical fault tree analysis with Monte Carlo or discrete-event simulation to estimate the probability and timing of an undesired top event when component failures follow complex, non-exponential, or correlated probability distributions. The approach overcomes the analytical limitations of Boolean algebra-based FTA and is widely used in nuclear, aerospace, chemical process, and manufacturing reliability engineering.Risk-based fault tree analysis (RB-FTA) combines classical fault tree analysis with explicit quantitative risk assessment. Starting from an undesired top event, the analyst decomposes it into contributing causes using AND/OR logic gates, assigns failure probabilities to basic events from reliability databases or historical data, and then propagates those probabilities through the tree to compute top-event likelihood. The result is expressed as risk — probability weighted by consequence severity — enabling prioritisation of safety interventions by their actual risk reduction impact.
ScholarGateJeu de données
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Sources
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Simulation-assisted fault tree analysis · Risk-based fault tree analysis. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare