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Analyse de sensibilité avec analyse par arbre d'événements×Analyse d'arbre d'événements basée sur le risque×
DomainePlans d'expériencesPlans d'expériences
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origineCombination formalized in risk and reliability engineering from the 1990s onward1975 (WASH-1400); risk-based integration formalized through 1980s–1990s PRA practice
Auteur d'origineSensitivity analysis: Saltelli et al. (1990s–2000s); Event tree analysis: Watson (1961, WASH-1400 formalization 1975)Originated in nuclear industry (US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, WASH-1400 report); risk-based framing developed through probabilistic risk assessment practice
TypeHybrid quantitative risk analysis methodRisk and reliability analysis technique
Source fondatriceSaltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470059975Bedford, T., & Cooke, R. (2001). Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521773201
AliasSA-ETA, ETA sensitivity analysis, event tree sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis with ETARisk-based ETA, probabilistic event tree analysis, consequence-probability event tree, risk-informed ETA
Apparentées64
RésuméSensitivity analysis with event tree analysis (SA-ETA) is a quantitative risk assessment approach that systematically varies the input probabilities of an event tree model to determine which branch probabilities or initiating event frequencies most strongly influence the calculated probability of undesired outcomes. It extends classical event tree analysis by ranking the uncertainty contributions of individual inputs, thereby guiding risk-reduction efforts toward the parameters that matter most.Risk-based event tree analysis is a forward-looking, inductive risk assessment technique that models the consequences of an initiating event by tracing binary success/failure branches through safety barriers, then weights each outcome path by its probability to produce quantified risk estimates. Widely applied in nuclear, chemical process, aviation, and infrastructure safety engineering, it sits at the heart of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) and supports both design decisions and regulatory compliance.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Sensitivity analysis with event tree analysis · Risk-based event tree analysis. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare