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Modèle GARCH Robuste×Modèle EGARCH (GARCH exponentiel)×Régression quantile×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine1986–201319911978
Auteur d'origineBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Daniel B. NelsonKoenker & Bassett
TypeVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional quantile regression
Source fondatriceBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
AliasRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Apparentées565
RésuméThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Robust GARCH model · EGARCH model · Quantile Regression. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare