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Systémique des Scénarios de Politiques×Dynamique des systèmes basée sur les agents×
DomaineSimulationSimulation
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine1960s–1990s2000s
Auteur d'origineForrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and othersBorshchev, A. & Filippov, A. (hybrid formalization); Sterman, J. D. (system dynamics foundation)
TypeSimulation-based policy analysisHybrid simulation model
Source fondatriceSterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159Borshchev, A., & Filippov, A. (2004). From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling: Reasons, techniques, tools. In Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Oxford, UK. link ↗
AliasPSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems ModelingAB-SD, Hybrid ABM-SD, Agent-based SD, Multi-level hybrid simulation
Apparentées55
RésuméPolicy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.Agent-based system dynamics (AB-SD) is a hybrid simulation paradigm that couples agent-based modeling (ABM) at the micro level with system dynamics (SD) stock-and-flow structures at the macro level. This allows researchers to capture emergent individual behavior and feedback-driven aggregate dynamics within a single coherent model, making it especially valuable for complex socio-economic and epidemiological systems.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Policy Scenario System Dynamics · Agent-based system dynamics. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare