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Simulation à Événements Discrets pour Scénarios de Politique×Systémique des Scénarios de Politiques×
DomaineSimulationSimulation
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine1960s–1990s1960s–1990s
Auteur d'origineTocher, K. D. and Gordon, G. (early DES); policy scenario extension emerged through operations research and health policy modeling communitiesForrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and others
TypeSimulation-based policy evaluationSimulation-based policy analysis
Source fondatriceLaw, A. M. (2015). Simulation Modeling and Analysis (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill Education. ISBN: 9780073401324Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159
AliasPolicy DES, Scenario-based DES, Policy simulation DES, DES policy analysisPSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems Modeling
Apparentées55
RésuméPolicy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation combines the event-by-event fidelity of Discrete-Event Simulation with systematic policy scenario analysis to evaluate how different interventions, regulations, or resource allocations change system performance. By running multiple well-defined policy scenarios through the same DES model, analysts can compare outcomes — throughput, waiting times, costs — across alternatives before real-world implementation.Policy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Policy Scenario Discrete-Event Simulation · Policy Scenario System Dynamics. Consulté le 2026-06-19 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare