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Analyse d'impact causal sur données de panel×Séries chronologiques interrompues avec données de panel×
DomaineInférence causaleInférence causale
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s2000s–2010s
Auteur d'origineBrodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literatureShadish, Cook & Campbell (design framework); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (epidemiological tutorial)
TypeBayesian structural time-series causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference
Source fondatriceBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Lopez Bernal, J., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
AliasPanel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysispanel ITS, multi-unit ITS, panel ITSA, controlled interrupted time series
Apparentées65
RésuméPanel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods.Panel Data Interrupted Time Series (panel ITS) is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of an intervention using repeated observations from multiple units over time. By exploiting variation across both units and time periods, it provides stronger causal identification than single-unit ITS, detecting changes in the level and slope of the outcome trajectory immediately following a clearly dated intervention.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Panel Data Causal Impact Analysis · Panel Data Interrupted Time Series. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare