Comparer des méthodes

	Modèles de dégradation	Analyse par Arbre de Défaillance (FTA)
Domaine	Fiabilité	Fiabilité
Famille	Regression model	Process / pipeline
Année d'origine	1998	1981
Auteur d'origine	Meeker, Escobar & Lu	Vesely et al. (US NRC Fault Tree Handbook)
Type	Stochastic degradation path model	Deductive top-down failure analysis
Source fondatrice	Meeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99.	Vesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook (NUREG-0492). U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
Alias	Accelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma Modelleri	FTA, Fault Tree Method, Top-Down Reliability Analysis, Hata Ağacı Analizi
Apparentées	3	3
Résumé	Degradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.	Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a top-down, deductive reliability method that begins with an undesired top-level failure event and systematically traces backward through chains of contributing causes using Boolean logic gates (AND, OR). First formalized by Watson at Bell Telephone Laboratories in 1961 and later standardized by Vesely, Goldberg, Roberts, and Haasl in the landmark 1981 NRC Fault Tree Handbook, FTA has become a cornerstone of quantitative risk assessment in nuclear, aerospace, and industrial safety engineering.