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Brass Growth Balance Method×Théorie de la population stable×
DomaineDémographieDémographie
FamilleProcess / pipelineRegression model
Année d'origine19751972
Auteur d'origineWilliam BrassAlfred J. Lotka; Ansley Coale
TypeDeath distribution method for estimating the completeness of death registrationMathematical demographic model
Source fondatricePreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Coale, A. J. (1972). The Growth and Structure of Human Populations: A Mathematical Investigation. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0-691-09357-4
AliasBrass growth balance equation, GBM, Death registration completeness estimation, Brass Büyüme Dengesi YöntemiLotka-Coale Stable Population Model, Stable Age Distribution Theory, Stationary Population Theory, Kararlı Nüfus Teorisi
Apparentées42
RésuméThe Brass growth balance method estimates how complete a country's death registration is when vital statistics are incomplete but a census age distribution exists. Developed by William Brass in 1975, it rests on a simple demographic accounting identity applied above every age: in a stable population the rate at which people enter an open-ended age group must equal the population growth rate plus the rate at which they leave it by dying. Plotting the entry rate against the observed death rate above each age yields a straight line whose slope reveals the fraction of deaths actually registered.Stable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fertility and mortality schedules over a long period. Foundational work by Alfred J. Lotka established the core integral equation in the early twentieth century, and Ansley Coale's 1972 mathematical synthesis became the definitive theoretical reference, showing that any population exposed to invariant vital rates will converge to a unique stable age distribution growing at a fixed intrinsic rate of natural increase.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Brass Growth Balance Method · Stable Population Theory. Consulté le 2026-06-25 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare