Comparer des méthodes

	Modèle Structurel Marginal Bayésien	Modèle structurel marginal (MSM)
Domaine	Inférence causale	Inférence causale
Famille	Regression model	Regression model
Année d'origine	2015 (Bayesian extension); 2000 (MSM foundation)	2000
Auteur d'origine	Saarela, Stephens, Moodie & Klein (Bayesian extension); Robins, Hernan & Brumback (original MSM)	James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback
Type	Causal inference / Bayesian weighted regression	Causal model / semiparametric weighting
Source fondatrice	Saarela, O., Stephens, D. A., Moodie, E. E. M., & Klein, M. B. (2015). On Bayesian estimation of marginal structural models. Biometrics, 71(2), 279-288.	Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560.
Alias	Bayesian MSM, Bayesian MSM-IPW, Bayesian weighted structural model, Bayesian causal MSM	MSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model
Apparentées	6	5
Résumé	Bayesian Marginal Structural Model (Bayesian MSM) combines the causal identification power of inverse-probability-weighted marginal structural models with Bayesian posterior inference. Rather than relying on point estimates and asymptotic standard errors, it propagates uncertainty through a full posterior distribution over causal effect parameters, offering coherent uncertainty quantification for causal effects of time-varying treatments.	A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail.