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Modèle GARCH DCC Bayésien dynamique conditionnel (Bayesian DCC-GARCH)×Modèle GARCH bayésien×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine2002 (DCC); 2000s (Bayesian extension)1989–2000
Auteur d'origineEngle (2002) for DCC; Bayesian extension via MCMC literature (2000s onwards)Geweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998)
TypeMultivariate volatility modelBayesian volatility model
Source fondatriceEngle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian DCC-GARCH, Bayesian Dynamic Conditional Correlation, MCMC DCC-GARCH, Bayesian multivariate volatility modelBayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model
Apparentées64
RésuméBayesian DCC-GARCH estimates time-varying correlations across multiple financial or economic series by combining Engle's DCC-GARCH structure with Bayesian inference. Rather than maximising a likelihood, it places prior distributions over all parameters and uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to produce full posterior distributions, yielding richer uncertainty quantification than classical DCC-GARCH.The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Bayesian DCC-GARCH · Bayesian GARCH model. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare