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Robust ARCH -malli×Autoregressiivisen ehdollisen heteroskedastisuuden (ARCH) malli×
TieteenalaEkonometriaEkonometria
MenetelmäperheRegression modelRegression model
Syntyvuosi2002–20081982
KehittäjäEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sRobert F. Engle
TyyppiVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model
AlkuperäislähdeEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
Rinnakkaisnimetrobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Liittyvät66
TiivistelmäThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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