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Robustti autoregressiivinen malli×Autoregressiivinen malli (AR)×Robustit yleistetyt pienimmät neliöt (Robust GLS)×
TieteenalaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
MenetelmäperheRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Syntyvuosi19861970s (popularised 1976)1936 / 1980
KehittäjäMartin & Yohai (influential early work); broader robust time series literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsAitken (GLS theory, 1936); White (robust covariance, 1980)
TyyppiRobust time series modelTime series modelRobust linear regression
AlkuperäislähdeMartin, R. D., & Yohai, V. J. (1986). Influence functionals for time series. Annals of Statistics, 14(3), 781–818. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed.). Pearson. Chapter 9: The Generalized Regression Model and Heteroscedasticity. ISBN: 978-0131395381
Rinnakkaisnimetrobust autoregression, outlier-robust AR, M-estimator AR, heavy-tail ARAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processrobust generalized least squares, GLS with robust standard errors, heteroscedasticity-consistent GLS, HC-GLS
Liittyvät665
TiivistelmäThe robust AR model fits an autoregressive time series specification using estimation methods — typically M-estimators or bounded-influence estimators — that resist distortion from outliers and heavy-tailed error distributions. Unlike OLS-based AR estimation, robust variants down-weight extreme observations so that a small number of contaminated data points cannot dominate the fitted dynamics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.Robust GLS extends classical Generalized Least Squares by pairing GLS coefficient estimation with heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) standard errors, or by using M-estimation within the GLS framework. It corrects for non-spherical errors — heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or both — while also guarding inference against misspecification of the error covariance structure.
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ScholarGateVertaile menetelmiä: Robust AR model · Autoregressive model · Robust GLS. Haettu 2026-06-18 osoitteesta https://scholargate.app/fi/compare