Vertaile menetelmiä

	Robustti autoregressiivinen malli	ARIMA-malli (Autoregressiivinen integroitu liukuva keskiarvo)	Robustit yleistetyt pienimmät neliöt (Robust GLS)
Tieteenala	Ekonometria	Ekonometria	Ekonometria
Menetelmäperhe	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Syntyvuosi	1986	1970	1936 / 1980
Kehittäjä	Martin & Yohai (influential early work); broader robust time series literature	George Box and Gwilym Jenkins	Aitken (GLS theory, 1936); White (robust covariance, 1980)
Tyyppi	Robust time series model	Time series forecasting model	Robust linear regression
Alkuperäislähde	Martin, R. D., & Yohai, V. J. (1986). Influence functionals for time series. Annals of Statistics, 14(3), 781–818.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed.). Pearson. Chapter 9: The Generalized Regression Model and Heteroscedasticity. ISBN: 978-0131395381
Rinnakkaisnimet	robust autoregression, outlier-robust AR, M-estimator AR, heavy-tail AR	ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)	robust generalized least squares, GLS with robust standard errors, heteroscedasticity-consistent GLS, HC-GLS
Liittyvät	6	6	5
Tiivistelmä	The robust AR model fits an autoregressive time series specification using estimation methods — typically M-estimators or bounded-influence estimators — that resist distortion from outliers and heavy-tailed error distributions. Unlike OLS-based AR estimation, robust variants down-weight extreme observations so that a small number of contaminated data points cannot dominate the fitted dynamics.	The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.	Robust GLS extends classical Generalized Least Squares by pairing GLS coefficient estimation with heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) standard errors, or by using M-estimation within the GLS framework. It corrects for non-spherical errors — heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or both — while also guarding inference against misspecification of the error covariance structure.