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Todennäköisyyspohjainen seismisen vaaran analyysi (PSHA)×MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION×
TieteenalaRakennustekniikkaPäätöksenteko
MenetelmäperheProcess / pipelineMCDM
Syntyvuosi19681949
KehittäjäC. Allin CornellMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
TyyppiQuantitative probabilistic frameworkRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
AlkuperäislähdeCornell, C. A. (1968). Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 58(5), 1583–1606. link ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
RinnakkaisnimetPSHA, seismic hazard analysis, probabilistic earthquake hazard assessment, Cornell-McGuire method
Liittyvät10
TiivistelmäProbabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is a quantitative engineering framework used in civil and geotechnical engineering to estimate the likelihood that ground shaking will exceed a specified intensity level at a site within a given time window. By combining earthquake source geometry, recurrence statistics, and ground-motion attenuation models, PSHA produces hazard curves and maps that inform seismic design codes, infrastructure planning, and risk management decisions.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateVertaile menetelmiä: Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Haettu 2026-06-18 osoitteesta https://scholargate.app/fi/compare